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Post by darkshrew on Jul 4, 2024 14:14:51 GMT 1
Sticking with this prediction: North Shropshire - Lib Dem Shrewsbury - Labour South Shropshire - Conservative Telford - Labour Wrekin - Conservative Also had a fiver on Reform to win a few select seats at 21/1 assuming that the size of their vote is being underplayed. South Shropshire to be liberal. Wrekin to be Labour I'd love that to be correct but I fear that sheltonsalopian has called it right. Judging from the people I spoke to at the polling station this afternoon, Tories in Shrewsbury could be in 4th place - that would be a bit of payback for Danny K who has been a woeful MP. |
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Post by gtismygod on Jul 4, 2024 14:15:53 GMT 1
South Shropshire to be liberal. Wrekin to be Labour I'd love that to be correct but I fear that sheltonsalopian has called it right. Judging from the people I spoke to at the polling station this afternoon, Tories in Shrewsbury could be in 4th place - that would be a bit of payback for Danny K who has been a woeful MP. Part of me is concerned that the vote will be split four ways and DK will slither his way back in. |
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Post by darkshrew on Jul 4, 2024 14:17:00 GMT 1
I'd love that to be correct but I fear that sheltonsalopian has called it right. Judging from the people I spoke to at the polling station this afternoon, Tories in Shrewsbury could be in 4th place - that would be a bit of payback for Danny K who has been a woeful MP. Part of me is concerned that the vote will be split four ways and DK will slither his way back in. The stuff of nightmares. |
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2024 14:25:03 GMT 1
Sticking with this prediction: North Shropshire - Lib Dem Shrewsbury - Labour South Shropshire - Conservative Telford - Labour Wrekin - Conservative Also had a fiver on Reform to win a few select seats at 21/1 assuming that the size of their vote is being underplayed. South Shropshire to be liberal. Wrekin to be Labour Hopefully |
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Post by Valerioch on Jul 4, 2024 14:28:21 GMT 1
I'd love that to be correct but I fear that sheltonsalopian has called it right. Judging from the people I spoke to at the polling station this afternoon, Tories in Shrewsbury could be in 4th place - that would be a bit of payback for Danny K who has been a woeful MP. Part of me is concerned that the vote will be split four ways and DK will slither his way back in. No chance - he's toast  |
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Post by shroppygold on Jul 4, 2024 14:37:55 GMT 1
I wouldnt be to surprise to see Lib Dem get Shrewsbury. Met Alex Wagner a few times seems a decent honest chap
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Post by Valerioch on Jul 4, 2024 14:48:58 GMT 1
I wouldnt be to surprise to see Lib Dem get Shrewsbury. Met Alex Wagner a few times seems a decent honest chap Absolutely no chance, Salop is going massively to Labour, 50% of the vote likely Lib Dem will likely be 4th and lucky to get 10% |
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Post by ProudSalopian on Jul 4, 2024 14:55:40 GMT 1
I wouldnt be to surprise to see Lib Dem get Shrewsbury. Met Alex Wagner a few times seems a decent honest chap Absolutely no chance, Salop is going massively to Labour, 50% of the vote likely Lib Dem will likely be 4th and lucky to get 10% I know it's not exactly a scientific poll but I've seen lots of placards/support for Labour on homes in various parts of Shrewsbury in recent weeks, very little for any other party. |
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Post by darkshrew on Jul 4, 2024 15:00:12 GMT 1
I wouldnt be to surprise to see Lib Dem get Shrewsbury. Met Alex Wagner a few times seems a decent honest chap Absolutely no chance, Salop is going massively to Labour, 50% of the vote likely Lib Dem will likely be 4th and lucky to get 10% For Shrewsbury I'd predict: 1. Labour 45%
2. Reform 22%
3. LibDem 14%
4. Conservative 13%
5. Green 6%
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Post by staffordshrew on Jul 4, 2024 15:21:58 GMT 1
Predictions? You have to get out and vote to make them happen!
Vote today or regret not voting for the next five years.
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Post by The Clash 1966 on Jul 4, 2024 15:32:09 GMT 1
Wildlife centre in abbey foregate very busy at 11 30 today.
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Post by GrizzlyShrew on Jul 4, 2024 16:08:03 GMT 1
Predictions? You have to get out and vote to make them happen!
Vote today or regret not voting for the next five years.
I suppose I'd best get my boots on and walk the 10 mins each way to " do my duty" sometime. Have to say I really could quite easily not bother, and I doubt id regret not voting at any point in the next 5 years. Do I think my vote will make the slightest difference - No. Do I really give a flying **** who gets in - Again No. Do I trust any of them to actually make the slightest difference once whoever gets elected - absolutely No. Why am I actually bothering - erm, i really dont know tbh. But I'm told it's important i vote so off I go. |
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Post by staffordshrew on Jul 4, 2024 16:27:15 GMT 1
Predictions? You have to get out and vote to make them happen! Vote today or regret not voting for the next five years.
I suppose I'd best get my boots on and walk the 10 mins each way to " do my duty" sometime. Have to say I really could quite easily not bother, and I doubt id regret not voting at any point in the next 5 years. Do I think my vote will make the slightest difference - No. Do I really give a flying **** who gets in - Again No. Do I trust any of them to actually make the slightest difference once whoever gets elected - absolutely No. Why am I actually bothering - erm, i really dont know tbh. But I'm told it's important i vote so off I go. Think of it this way, the 10 minute walk each way is good for your heart health |
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Post by mattmw on Jul 4, 2024 16:30:01 GMT 1
Sticking with this prediction: North Shropshire - Lib Dem Shrewsbury - Labour South Shropshire - Conservative Telford - Labour Wrekin - Conservative Also had a fiver on Reform to win a few select seats at 21/1 assuming that the size of their vote is being underplayed. My early election bet on a minority Conservative government at 20/1 is not looking at coming in at the current time… Gone for Reform to win 7 or more seats at 4/1 which could get some money back Conservatives out to 6/1 to win Shrewsbury now having started at 4/1 six weeks ago South Shropshire betting odds still favouring conservatives just but Lib Dem odds getting much shorter now around 2/1 having been 4/1 earlier in the week Sounding like mixed turn out across the country with areas with sitting Conservatives quite high, but less so in safe Labour and Lib Dem seats. Not quite sure if that’s the silent Conservative vote coming out to vote or the anti Conservative vote mobilising - will find out in the coming hours |
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Post by ProudSalopian on Jul 4, 2024 16:49:57 GMT 1
Just been to vote in Belle Vue, plenty of people going to & from the place. I was speaking to the one clerk, she said she brings things with her to do when things go quiet, she hasn't had chance to do any of them today which she did actually look pleased about!
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Post by wookeywombat on Jul 4, 2024 16:54:13 GMT 1
I will be mightily disappointed if the Conservatives squeak home in South Shropshire. All the posters in my area are Lib Dem and in the not too distant past they were the incumbents.
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Post by GrizzlyShrew on Jul 4, 2024 17:01:32 GMT 1
I suppose I'd best get my boots on and walk the 10 mins each way to " do my duty" sometime. Have to say I really could quite easily not bother, and I doubt id regret not voting at any point in the next 5 years. Do I think my vote will make the slightest difference - No. Do I really give a flying **** who gets in - Again No. Do I trust any of them to actually make the slightest difference once whoever gets elected - absolutely No. Why am I actually bothering - erm, i really dont know tbh. But I'm told it's important i vote so off I go. Think of it this way, the 10 minute walk each way is good for your heart health But the couple of pints at the pub close by wouldnt be. Its probably the beers that have tipped the edge in actually bothering, a bit of a gift for 'doing my duty' |
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Post by sheltonsalopian on Jul 4, 2024 17:18:11 GMT 1
Sticking with this prediction: North Shropshire - Lib Dem Shrewsbury - Labour South Shropshire - Conservative Telford - Labour Wrekin - Conservative Also had a fiver on Reform to win a few select seats at 21/1 assuming that the size of their vote is being underplayed. Also for our neighbours I am predicting Montgomeryshire to go Labour. (Which is absolutely bonkers as someone who grew up there, but I think they've stolen a bit of the old Wrexham constituency which might help) |
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Post by hectord0g137 on Jul 4, 2024 17:21:02 GMT 1
An Observation. We have driven up to Whitby today for Northern Soul weekender. We voted at 7.30am then took a slow drive up. From Derby area right through Leeds Sheffield Pickering et al we never saw a 'Vote For' campaign sign
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Post by darkshrew on Jul 4, 2024 17:21:39 GMT 1
I will be mightily disappointed if the Conservatives squeak home in South Shropshire. All the posters in my area are Lib Dem and in the not too distant past they were the incumbents. If anyone out there is in South Shropshire and thinking that there is no point voting because they could not make a difference - think again ! Please get out and vote for Matt Greene - Lib Dem - he is neck and neck with the Tory who was shipped in from his no hope seat of Wolverhampton. |
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Post by servernaside on Jul 4, 2024 17:37:08 GMT 1
Yawn..............zzzzz
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Post by GrizzlyShrew on Jul 4, 2024 17:55:33 GMT 1
An Observation. We have driven up to Whitby today for Northern Soul weekender. We voted at 7.30am then took a slow drive up. From Derby area right through Leeds Sheffield Pickering et al we never saw a 'Vote For' campaign sign Maybe the penny is finally dropping. |
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Post by dibblydobbly on Jul 4, 2024 17:58:41 GMT 1
An Observation. We have driven up to Whitby today for Northern Soul weekender. We voted at 7.30am then took a slow drive up. From Derby area right through Leeds Sheffield Pickering et al we never saw a 'Vote For' campaign sign Maybe the penny is finally dropping. Might depend on your definition of "slow" as they go by in a blur.... |
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Post by mattmw on Jul 4, 2024 22:17:44 GMT 1
Exit polls just out and suggest a Labour win with
Labour 410
Conservatives 131
Liberal Democrat’s 61
Reform 13
SNP 10
Others 25
Likely figures might change during the night but not quite the total wipe out of the Conservatives but big gains for Lib Dem’s and Reform, and significant decline for SNP
Probably a reasonable result all round as keeps Labour majority to a reasonable level and no guarantee of success again in 5 years time but should give the other three parties cause to hold the new government to account
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Post by GrizzlyShrew on Jul 4, 2024 22:34:03 GMT 1
Could be time for Starmer to move into the real world and actually have to bring the promises to fruition.
Time to move away from being the clown on the sidelines mocking those in charge.
Guess the UK will instantly become a better place from tomorrow if you beleive all the hype. (I dont).
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Post by Valerioch on Jul 4, 2024 22:45:10 GMT 1
So more of a 1997 result likely, rather than an all time historic result leaving the Tories on 60 seats in 3rd, as some polls suggested
Either way, it’s a massive win for Labour as we all expected
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2024 22:49:56 GMT 1
Good luck to Kier and his new government, they’ll need it. The hard work starts now.
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Post by mattmw on Jul 4, 2024 22:58:47 GMT 1
At a local level the big gains for Liberal Democrats might suggest they have held North Shropshire and possibly won South Shropshire too, and likely Labour have won Shrewsbury. Might be wrong but can't ever recall a time Shropshire didn't have at least one Conservative MP, and might hint to changes in Council make up at the Local elections next May as well.
Think Rory Stewart is making a good point on Channel 4 coverage that Labours likely victory has come from a very (small c) Conservative manifesto and pledges - and it might actually be 2029 that more radical changes in party policies are seen
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Post by Exkeeper on Jul 5, 2024 0:11:14 GMT 1
Could be time for Starmer to move into the real world and actually have to bring the promises to fruition. Time to move away from being the clown on the sidelines mocking those in charge. Guess the UK will instantly become a better place from tomorrow if you beleive all the hype. (I dont). Hopefully he won’t still be trying without success in 14 years time! |
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Post by vladimir on Jul 5, 2024 0:33:19 GMT 1
A majority like that on 36% of the vote with a lowish turnout by the looks. What a ludicrous system.
High time FPTP is decimated and we join the 21st century.
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