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Post by zenfootball2 on Apr 7, 2019 8:24:23 GMT 1
Accrington could do both themselves and us a favour by beating Rochdale and Walsall at home in their next 2 games. i had hoped for a win against sc***horpe to get us nearer to safety,the way we are playing we need all the help we can get. i had put us optimistically down for a draw for the next two games !
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Post by blueboy62 on Apr 7, 2019 9:59:55 GMT 1
Five games to go with three of those away. Four games against teams above us and one home game against the one team below us on the last day of the season. Enter Walsall Town FC to set our nerves jangling one last time in this bizarre season of ours. If they hold our destiny in their hands that day then it will be a very long 90 minutes.
We've a difficult run in. I can't predict where we will pick up the points we need but I'm sure we will somehow. That win at Southend seems better every time I look at the table.
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Post by northwestman on Apr 7, 2019 10:31:46 GMT 1
Five games to go with three of those away. Four games against teams above us and one home game against the one team below us on the last day of the season. Enter Walsall Town FC to set our nerves jangling one last time in this bizarre season of ours. If they hold our destiny in their hands that day then it will be a very long 90 minutes. We've a difficult run in. I can't predict where we will pick up the points we need but I'm sure we will somehow. That win at Southend seems better every time I look at the table. Oxford at home looks the best bet, as they are now safe. Be nice if we could get something at Gillingham though, where we have won 3 and drawn 2 of our last 5 fixtures, including a vital 3-2 win on 23rd April 2016.
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Post by venceremos on Apr 7, 2019 11:08:47 GMT 1
Difficult run in? Oxford and Coventry are done for the season, or will be, Gillingham are about our level and Walsall are in the bottom four. Even Barnsley don’t look the threat they were as their top two chance slides away. And we probably need 3-4 points, that’s all.
Not saying it’ll be easy but, if we can’t do that, we’ve no right to stay in this league.
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Post by zenfootball2 on Apr 7, 2019 14:23:47 GMT 1
Difficult run in? Oxford and Coventry are done for the season, or will be, Gillingham are about our level and Walsall are in the bottom four. Even Barnsley don’t look the threat they were as their top two chance slides away. And we probably need 3-4 points, that’s all. Not saying it’ll be easy but, if we can’t do that, we’ve no right to stay in this league. the problem is our inconsistent performances , i agree we should do it but then we should on paper beat sc***horpe with one of the worst defensive records in the league and we could not do it.we have three away games were our record is not the best.let us hope we get something against gillingham my nightmare is with everything resting on the walsall game, we know our record against them is not the best
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Post by stuttgartershrew on Apr 7, 2019 15:29:51 GMT 1
Would be very nice indeed to pick up another unexpected win on the road at either Gillingham or Barnsley as I think that would just about see us right. Just that with the away form as it is and one of those games against one of the better sides in the division I don't think it would be too much of a surprise if we're not yet out of trouble come the home against Oxford on the Monday. And then we might be under a fair amount of pressure again depending what others have done in the mean time...
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Post by zenfootball2 on Apr 7, 2019 15:50:18 GMT 1
Would be very nice indeed to pick up another unexpected win on the road at either Gillingham or Barnsley as I think that would just about see us right. Just that with the away form as it is and one of those games against one of the better sides in the division I don't think it would be too much of a surprise if we're not yet out of trouble come the home against Oxford on the Monday. And then we might be under a fair amount of pressure again depending what others have done in the mean time... "we might be under a fair amount of pressure again depending what others have done in the mean time." we were lucky that the teams below us either drew or lost, we are also lucky that four teams have lost four games out of five, whilst we dont wont to rely on the other teams, we have been fortunate that they are worse than us but can that last and will town mange to get enough points to stay up.
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Post by venceremos on Apr 7, 2019 16:32:31 GMT 1
Would be very nice indeed to pick up another unexpected win on the road at either Gillingham or Barnsley as I think that would just about see us right. Just that with the away form as it is and one of those games against one of the better sides in the division I don't think it would be too much of a surprise if we're not yet out of trouble come the home against Oxford on the Monday. And then we might be under a fair amount of pressure again depending what others have done in the mean time... "we might be under a fair amount of pressure again depending what others have done in the mean time." we were lucky that the teams below us either drew or lost, we are also lucky that four teams have lost four games out of five, whilst we dont wont to rely on the other teams, we have been fortunate that they are worse than us but can that last and will town mange to get enough points to stay up. It’s not down to luck at all. Those teams dropped points and gained no ground on us because they weren’t good enough to win. That’s down to them, not our luck. Our performances may not be consistently good but they haven’t been all season and that’s why we’re in the bottom half. More important now is that the results are ok - 16 points from our last 11 games. As I said before, we really should believe we’re capable of getting 4 or 5 more from our last 5 games.
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Post by tvor on Apr 8, 2019 14:10:24 GMT 1
Accrington could do both themselves and us a favour by beating Rochdale and Walsall at home in their next 2 games. Coleman has called the game against Rochdale tomorrow night "the biggest game of my life".
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Post by northwestman on Apr 9, 2019 19:28:32 GMT 1
Two important games tonight.
Accrington v Rochdale Wycombe v Charlton
Home win or draw for Accrington and away win for Charlton please.
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Post by northwestman on Apr 9, 2019 21:44:34 GMT 1
So many 6 pointers left it's difficult to forecast things.
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Post by zenfootball2 on Apr 9, 2019 22:02:30 GMT 1
Two important games tonight. Accrington v Rochdale Wycombe v Charlton Home win or draw for Accrington and away win for Charlton please. Rochdale did not read the script just highlights how tight everything is.
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Post by SamHarvey on Apr 9, 2019 22:04:22 GMT 1
To be honest, I don’t think Rochdale winning was that bad a result for us. Keeps us 4 points clear of bottom four, with a superior goal difference, and in 14th position. Southend and Wycombe in dire straits.
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Post by northwestman on Apr 9, 2019 22:08:23 GMT 1
Now need Accrington to beat Walsall on Sat. Or draw.
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Post by tvor on Apr 9, 2019 22:11:49 GMT 1
Accrington will do very well to survive from this point. Their best chances of any more points are from home games against Walsall and Plymouth, it's difficult to see them getting anything from their other games.
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Post by blueboy62 on Apr 9, 2019 23:27:38 GMT 1
Wimbledon are the only team with a bit of momentum so I can see them escaping. I hope so as I have a soft spot for them after being railroaded to Milton Keynes.
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Post by tvor on Apr 13, 2019 17:18:12 GMT 1
A massive win for Accrington today, but given their remaining fixtures the home game against Plymouth will probably now decide their fate.
Some huge games on Good Friday. Walsall v Southend, Gillingham v Plymouth and Rochdale v Wycombe.
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Post by northwestman on Apr 13, 2019 19:11:26 GMT 1
I think we need to target Walsall, Southend, Sc***horpe, Rochdale, AFC Wimbledon and Accrington as the Clubs we want to lose their games. And to draw if they are playing each other.
I'm more than happy for Bradford to win their games against Gillingham, Sc***horpe and AFC Wimbledon. They are no danger to us.
Bristol Rovers, Plymouth and especially Wycombe can help us by beating relegation rivals from the 1st group.
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Post by pughywasfree on Apr 13, 2019 22:26:20 GMT 1
To go down now Bristol rovers need to gain one more a point than us Gillingham and Acrington have to gain 3 more points than us Wycombe and Plymouth need to gain 4 more points than us Sc***horpe and Rochdale need to gain 6 more points than us And wilmbledon need 7 more points than us.
I think we are safe lads and lasses!
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Post by pughywasfree on Apr 13, 2019 22:29:07 GMT 1
It seems a lot of the bottom clubs are playing each other over the last 4 games. I can't be bothered to work it out but we can't be far off mathematically safe
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NDG
Midland League Division Two
Posts: 201
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Post by NDG on Apr 13, 2019 23:27:21 GMT 1
It seems a lot of the bottom clubs are playing each other over the last 4 games. I can't be bothered to work it out but we can't be far off mathematically safe Think we are pretty much safe on 50 points, far too many teams between us and Rochdale in 20th, as you say some are playing each other and they can't all win, I believe at least 4 teams below us won't get a single point from there last 4 games.
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Post by northwestman on Apr 14, 2019 8:37:42 GMT 1
To go down now Bristol rovers need to gain one more a point than us Gillingham and Acrington have to gain 3 more points than us Wycombe and Plymouth need to gain 4 more points than us Sc***horpe and Rochdale need to gain 6 more points than us And wilmbledon need 7 more points than us. I think we are safe lads and lasses! You forgot Walsall who need to gain 9 more points than us, and Bradford, who can't catch us. Just so long as we don't need any points from the Walsall game and can relax!
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 14, 2019 8:56:11 GMT 1
It seems a lot of the bottom clubs are playing each other over the last 4 games. I can't be bothered to work it out but we can't be far off mathematically safe Think we are pretty much safe on 50 points, far too many teams between us and Rochdale in 20th, as you say some are playing each other and they can't all win, I believe at least 4 teams below us won't get a single point from there last 4 games. With a lot of the teams below us having to play each other and the fact that our goal difference is better than the majority of teams below us, I’d agree we are safe even if we don’t pick up a single point between now and the end of the season (we will of course draw/win at least one of the remaining games). Wouldn’t surprise me if we beat Barnsley.
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Post by shrewblue on Apr 14, 2019 9:03:05 GMT 1
Given the remaining fixtures in the run in I would be surprised if it is not between Walsall, Southend, Accrington, Sc***horpe, and Bradford heading for DIV 2...whoever it is I just hope we are safe by the Walsall game so we can relax
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 14, 2019 9:20:42 GMT 1
The BBC sport site used to have a results predicter. It would certainly be fun to give it a go at the moment 😀
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wurlitzer
Midland League Division Two
Posts: 119
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Post by wurlitzer on Apr 14, 2019 9:43:59 GMT 1
The BBC sport site used to have a results predicter. It would certainly be fun to give it a go at the moment 😀 The Grimsby town website (thefishy) has a results predictor. I put Shrewsbury to lose all 4 remaining games by 2 goals (-8 goal difference). The computer then predicts the other fixtures based on form and a little bit of randomness. We survived :-). The team 4th to bottom had 48 points (Rochdale). Walsall escaped relegation thanks to the Shrews :-( Bradford, Sc***horpe, Southend and Rochdale were the unlucky ones. All abit of fun lol
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Apr 14, 2019 17:41:09 GMT 1
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Post by northwestman on Apr 19, 2019 17:22:17 GMT 1
Fixtures and points updated!
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Post by northwestman on Apr 19, 2019 19:09:23 GMT 1
Bradford - can't catch us. Walsall - would have to win all 3 remaining matches to finish above us, and that's assuming we don't get 2 more points. AFC Wimbledon - assuming they lose against Luton, they'd have to win both their remaining games, whilst we fail to get another point. Southend - need 2 wins and a draw from their remaining 3 games whilst we fail to get a point. Accrington - may win their game against Plymouth, but their other 3 fixtures are horrendous. Sc***horpe - we've all seen how dire they are, so they may not get more than 3 points against Bradford. Rochdale - may also get no more than 3 more points by beating Southend, which would help us anyway by making Southend unable to catch us. Wycombe - need 4 more points to overtake us, and to do that they'd have to take at least one point from either Walsall or Wimbledon, which would make either of them unable to catch us assuming Wimbledon lose to Luton. Plymouth need 4 points to move ahead of us, so assuming they don't get much from playing Barnsley, they'll need 4 points from Accrington and Sc***horpe, which again helps us.
I think Gillingham and Bristol Rovers are more or less clear of trouble, so Bristol beating Rochdale would be useful.
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Post by zenfootball2 on Apr 19, 2019 21:18:58 GMT 1
Bradford - can't catch us. Walsall - would have to win all 3 remaining matches to finish above us, and that's assuming we don't get 2 more points. AFC Wimbledon - assuming they lose against Luton, they'd have to win both their remaining games, whilst we fail to get another point. Southend - need 2 wins and a draw from their remaining 3 games whilst we fail to get a point. Accrington - may win their game against Plymouth, but their other 3 fixtures are horrendous. Sc***horpe - we've all seen how dire they are, so they may not get more than 3 points against Bradford. Rochdale - may also get no more than 3 more points by beating Southend, which would help us anyway by making Southend unable to catch us. Wycombe - need 4 more points to overtake us, and to do that they'd have to take at least one point from either Walsall or Wimbledon, which would make either of them unable to catch us assuming Wimbledon lose to Luton. Plymouth need 4 points to move ahead of us, so assuming they don't get much from playing Barnsley, they'll need 4 points from Accrington and Sc***horpe, which again helps us. I think Gillingham and Bristol Rovers are more or less clear of trouble, so Bristol beating Rochdale would be useful. thanks for taking the time to work out all the variables. but we know that town never make it easy.
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